VIRGINIA LATEST – AT 9:51 A.M. ET:  The most important race in tomorrow's elections will be the Virginia gubernatorial contest.  It is important mostly for the Dems.  They have the governorship now, and if they lose it, it will be a very big deal.  If they hang on, not much of a story.  If the Republicans win, and take Virginia away from the Dems, again it's a big deal.  The Democrats are looking for an important victory somewhere, anywhere.

As of this morning, Democrat Ralph Northam leads in virtually all polls, but one poll has GOP candidate Ed Gillespie ahead, and another poll shows a tie. 

Conventional wisdom tells us that Gillespie has made progress, but the final polls show that Northam has actually gained in the last few days. 

However, polling has become a bit uncertain in the age of Trump.  My guess, and it's only a guess, is that Northam will pull it out, but I hope I'm wrong.  Turnout will be the key.  It's our ace, as Republicans are seen to be more enthusiastic than Democrats.

Gillespie has to get out the vote.  That's the bottom line here.  The RealClearPolitics average of polls has Northam ahead by 3%.  An upset is clearly possible.

November 6,  2017